2026's Toy Story 5 is the sixth theatrical installment in the Pixar franchise (including the 2022 standalone spinoff Lightyear) and follows the series' main characters, including Woody (Tom Hanks), Jessie (Joan Cusack), and Buzz Lightyear (Tim Allen) on a brand-new adventure as they compete with a tablet named Lily (Greta Lee) for the attention of their new owner, Bonnie (Scarlett Spears). The movie debuted on June 19, hitting a 3-day domestic total of $159.7 million that marked the best domestic opening weekend of the franchise, as well as the best of 2026 so far.
Per TheWrap, as of Saturday morning, Toy Story 5 is projected to earn a 3-day total of $72.5 million by the end of its sophomore weekend at the domestic box office, taking No. 1 over the new DC Universe release Supergirl thanks to a slim drop of just 54%. This will push its cumulative domestic total past $300 million after just 10 days in theaters. It is the quickest installment in the franchise to hit the $300 million domestic milestone, as both 2010's Toy Story 3 and 2019's Toy Story 4 did not hit $300 million until their third weekends.
In fact, those titles are the sole Toy Story movies to earn more than $300 million at the domestic box office. Not adjusted for inflation, Toy Story 5 has already outgrossed the domestic run of 1999's Toy Story 2 ($245.8 million) and the entire worldwide runs of both 1995's Toy Story ($237.4 million) and 2022's Lightyear ($226.4 million).
By hitting this major milestone, Toy Story 5 has already become Pixar's eighth highest-grossing movie in history at the domestic box office, outgrossing the domestic hauls (not adjusted for inflation) of many of their most notable titles, including Up ($293 million), The Incredibles ($261.4 million), Monsters, Inc. ($255.9 million), Cars ($244.1 million), WALL·E ($223.8 million), Coco ($206.4 million), Ratatouille ($206.4 million), and A Bug's Life ($162.8 million).
Ultimately, given its record-breaking opening weekend, the fact that its slim sophomore drop shows strong audience retention, and its Rotten Tomatoes score that sees critics' glowing Toy Story 5 reviews earning it a stellar 93%, it seems highly likely that the new movie will follow the flagship franchise's two most recent installments past the billion-dollar milestone worldwide by the end of its run.
This is a boon for the movie, as it is the most expensive of the entire franchise with a reported $250 million budget. Because tentpole movies often need to earn back two and a half times their budgets in theaters, Toy Story 5's estimated break-even point could be as high as $625 million, which is nearly triple what the franchise's most recent installment, Lightyear, earned worldwide.
However, Toy Story 5 is set to pass that benchmark and then some. While it may not have enough strength to outgross Pixar's highest-grossing movie ever, Inside Out 2 ($1.699 billion), simply outgrossing Toy Story 4's $1.074 billion (which is entirely doable given its current standing) would make it the 10th highest-grossing animated movie of all time.
